Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.227428 0.262755 0.301571 0.347361 0.399878 0.458208 0.527892
2024-10-20 0.175774 0.222534 0.278551 0.350507 0.440397 0.548909 0.689784
2024-10-27 0.133141 0.183389 0.248564 0.339069 0.461282 0.620373 0.843015
2024-11-03 0.109608 0.163211 0.238014 0.349595 0.511372 0.736923 1.074804
2024-11-10 0.092151 0.147531 0.230242 0.362056 0.566096 0.869040 1.351972
2024-11-17 0.075547 0.129485 0.215338 0.360895 0.600373 0.977311 1.613801
2024-11-24 0.062406 0.114038 0.201273 0.357974 0.630844 1.084236 1.891689
2024-12-01 0.052383 0.101667 0.189726 0.356701 0.663261 1.198918 2.201142
2024-12-08 0.044740 0.091909 0.180743 0.357955 0.699817 1.325845 2.552182
2024-12-15 0.039380 0.085337 0.176271 0.366495 0.750803 1.485957 2.988786
2024-12-22 0.033853 0.077236 0.167253 0.364345 0.780522 1.610506 3.377517
2024-12-29 0.030276 0.072503 0.164117 0.373457 0.834130 1.789216 3.900830
2025-01-05 0.025943 0.065272 0.154557 0.367612 0.856477 1.910533 4.331401
2025-01-12 0.023106 0.060939 0.150614 0.373596 0.905904 2.096946 4.932472
2025-01-19 0.019697 0.054448 0.140437 0.363185 0.916232 2.199874 5.366211
2025-01-26 0.018035 0.052081 0.139761 0.375672 0.983061 2.441327 6.157898
2025-02-02 0.016641 0.050132 0.139765 0.389905 1.056783 2.710612 7.059492
2025-02-09 0.014771 0.046422 0.134455 0.389245 1.092524 2.893697 7.779266
2025-02-16 0.013077 0.042835 0.128774 0.386499 1.122321 3.066689 8.501698
2025-02-23 0.011666 0.039784 0.123999 0.385397 1.156467 3.256349 9.298571
2025-03-02 0.010516 0.037290 0.120363 0.386932 1.198413 3.473438 10.204501
2025-03-09 0.009717 0.035768 0.119367 0.396270 1.264846 3.768021 11.372389
2025-03-16 0.008711 0.033298 0.114920 0.394036 1.296284 3.969334 12.307307